This year, affected by many factors, such as complex domestic and international environment, face greater downward pressure on industrial growth. In the main tone of steady growth, expanding domestic demand, various policies have been launched to promote the rapid and steady growth in investment, and promote the overall recovery in the mold industry, China's industrial economy is generally stable, steady progress in structural PE Electrofusion Pipe Fitting adjustment, industrial growth is expected in 2013 more than 15 die % international environment is still full of complexity and uncertainty, shrinking external demand situation is difficult to significantly improved, and because of slower growth in factor inputs, reduced efficiency of industrial investment mold, mold industrial economic downward pressure is still large. Three die stimulating industrial growth demand trends differentiation, will present investment stabilized, soft consumer trends, exports slowing trend. Investment, the direction is clear and the lingering effects. Domestic construction boom emerged Mold City, Mould Industry Mould City real estate investment and investment growth showed an upward trend. Commercial real injection mould estate bubble of the past few years the development of aspects of resource allocation, economic structure and income distribution have had a serious negative effect, so the current round of real estate regulation will exceed the previous cycle. Meanwhile, the real estate investment and export demand and other related real estate and mold manufacturing to industrial markets to high-end development, mold manufacturing investment growth could rise further this year compared. Investment expansion in the mold industry is likely to shift the focus of urban transportation and other infrastructure as well as LED, medical and other industries, thus promoting investment in infrastructure and social services increased investment. Moreover, taking into account the investment in fixed assets this year, the total investment in new projects and is currently picking up the cumulative growth rate maintained at a relatively high level since May this year, which bodes well for next year's fixed asset investment growth is likely not to some extent there will be a substantial decline in the case of virtual tired out, the investment continues to be an important force for steady growth.
Although large-scale infrastructure investments no longer exist, but to show steady growth taking into account the national macro-policy effectiveness, investment in infrastructure, construction and other city will die steadily, more likely in 2013 to stabilize the growth of mold industrial investment, estimated annual growth rate of industrial investment mold maintained at more than 30% of fixed asset investment growth will remain at around 20%. Consumption, endogenous firmer but growth is slowing down. Canceled by the vehicle purchase tax incentives, real estate purchase, the impact of restricting the number of car Yaohao factors such as policy control, since this year the growth rate of real consumption of Chinese residents remained at low volatility. Although prices continued slow growth, personal income tax policy to gradually adjust and continue to expand social protection surface and other factors will tend to lead to enhanced endogenous consumption, but to promote income distribution reform will take time, relying on the consumer to stimulate economic growth in the short-term model difficult to establish. Taken together, the overall growth in consumer demand will remain modest growth trend slightly soft trend, consumption growth is expected to remain at around 14.5%. Export growth will remain low. From the outside, the slow U.S. economic recovery will continue to support China's exports to the United States to tapping tee electrofusion mould maintain moderate growth, and sustained decline in the European economy and the slowdown in emerging economies will affect the overall performance of China's exports; from the internal point of view, China's population structure changes in factor prices and environmental reforms, such as strengthening the supply-side changes will further push production costs for the mold industry competitiveness and exports have a significant negative effect. In addition to the above factors, taking into account the appreciation of the renminbi and rising protectionism in trade and other factors, external demand in the longer term will remain weak state, the future is not as a stabilizing force in supporting industrial growth. Think of mold industrial export growth will moderate growth, showed significant slowing trend, but the possibility of a further sharp decline in the smaller mold industry estimated annual export value growth remained at around 10%. On the whole, taking into account the stimulating effect, the base effect of macroeconomic policies and other factors, combined with our forecast model,
Due to the lack of high-end products, parts and components industry is seriously lagging behind the development of basic, structural overcapacity in the shipbuilding industry issues still outstanding, automobile consumption will remain subject to some constraints, own-brand cars structural overcapacity will continue. China's mold equipment industry growth will slow in the stabilization, which was slow in the raw materials industry overall stabilization of the situation. January to September this year, above-scale industrial added value increased raw material of 10.15%, the annual growth rate of industrial added value up is expected to remain at about 10%. With the slow recovery of the international economy and domestic economic stabilization and recovery, structural recovery in domestic demand growth, the export situation will be eased, production growth will be China's mold industry rebounded slightly. Eastern industrial production growth will continue to slow down, the Midwest will continue rapid growth. From a regional perspective, because the various regions in which the different development stages of industrialization, the growth rate showed a clear differentiation trend, namely the eastern industrial added value was in the low mold growth, central and western regions is growing rapidly, and this trend in 2013 will continue. Accelerate the construction of infrastructure, investment in fixed assets in central and western regions the power of strong first three quarters of 2012, the six central provinces were higher than the national growth rate of investment, including investment of 10 billion half of the provinces. Due to the central and western regions is in the middle of industrialization, investment-driven features are still evident, with greater growth potential and vast room for improvement is expected in 2013 in the central and western regions will die of industrial added value grew by 11.5% and 13%, respectively about.
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